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National League - North · England
Hebburn Town vs Scarborough Athletic prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hebburn Town host Scarborough Athletic in the National League - North (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hebburn Town 0–2 Scarborough Athletic.
Going into the match, Hebburn Town had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 21. Scarborough Athletic had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Hebburn Town's last 10 and 6 of Scarborough Athletic's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hebburn Town averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Scarborough Athletic averaged 1.33 scored and 2.00 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.67 goals from Hebburn Town and 1.75 from Scarborough Athletic. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 39%, against 39%, 26% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hebburn Town | LDLWL | 1.30 | 2.10 | 70% | 70% |
| Scarborough Athletic | LDDDW | 1.30 | 1.30 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Hebburn Town form and statistics
- Scarborough Athletic form and statistics
- National League - North statistics
Other National League - North matches that day
- AFC Telford United vs Darlington 1883 · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - North
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 - Buxton vs Worksop Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - North
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 2–2 - Hednesford Town vs Brackley Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - North
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 3–2 - Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - North
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - Southport vs Radcliffe · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - North
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50