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National League - North · England
Buxton vs Worksop Town prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Buxton host Worksop Town in the National League - North (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Buxton 2–2 Worksop Town.
Going into the match, Buxton had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Worksop Town had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Buxton's last 10 and 6 of Worksop Town's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Buxton averaged 2.15 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Worksop Town averaged 1.44 scored and 1.78 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.11 goals from Buxton and 1.33 from Worksop Town. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 23%, against 54%, 24% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buxton | LLLWW | 1.50 | 1.70 | 40% | 70% |
| Worksop Town | WLLWD | 1.50 | 1.80 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Buxton Win | 55% | 1.65 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 41% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other National League - North matches that day
- AFC Telford United vs Darlington 1883 · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - North
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 - Hednesford Town vs Brackley Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - North
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 3–2 - Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - North
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - Southport vs Radcliffe · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - North
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Hebburn Town vs Scarborough Athletic · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - North
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–2