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National League - North · England
AFC Telford United vs Darlington 1883 prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AFC Telford United host Darlington 1883 in the National League - North (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: AFC Telford United 2–1 Darlington 1883.
Going into the match, AFC Telford United had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 18. Darlington 1883 had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of AFC Telford United's last 10 and 7 of Darlington 1883's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AFC Telford United averaged 0.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Darlington 1883 averaged 1.91 scored and 2.09 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.63 goals from AFC Telford United and 1.41 from Darlington 1883. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 32%, against 48%, 24% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Telford United | LLLDD | 0.90 | 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
| Darlington 1883 | DLDWL | 1.30 | 2.20 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Apr 2026 · AFC Telford United 1–1 Darlington 1883
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| AFC Telford United Win | 48% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- AFC Telford United form and statistics
- Darlington 1883 form and statistics
- National League - North statistics
Other National League - North matches that day
- Buxton vs Worksop Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - North
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 2–2 - Hednesford Town vs Brackley Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - North
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 3–2 - Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - North
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - Southport vs Radcliffe · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - North
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Hebburn Town vs Scarborough Athletic · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - North
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–2