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FAW Championship · Wales
Guilsfield vs Porthmadog prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Guilsfield host Porthmadog in the FAW Championship (Wales) on 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.49, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Guilsfield had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 15. Porthmadog had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Guilsfield's last 10 and 4 of Porthmadog's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Guilsfield averaged 2.14 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Porthmadog averaged 1.57 scored and 1.43 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.16 goals from Guilsfield and 1.18 from Porthmadog. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 35%, against 42%, 24% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Guilsfield (green) and Porthmadog (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guilsfield | DDLWW | 1.60 | 1.50 | 50% | 50% |
| Porthmadog | LLWWW | 1.30 | 1.40 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.24 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.49 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 47% | 1.98 |
| Guilsfield Win | 42% | 2.15 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FAW Championship matches that day
- Newtown AFC vs Buckley Town · 31 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC · FAW Championship
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Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 - Ynyshir Albions vs Swansea University · 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 1X