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FAW Championship · Wales
Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cardiff Draconians host Afan Lido in the FAW Championship (Wales) on 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.38, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Cardiff Draconians had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 18. Afan Lido had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Cardiff Draconians's last 10 and 4 of Afan Lido's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cardiff Draconians averaged 2.14 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Afan Lido averaged 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.50 goals from Cardiff Draconians and 1.82 from Afan Lido. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 45%, against 38%, 23% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cardiff Draconians (green) and Afan Lido (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff Draconians | LWDDL | 1.50 | 1.80 | 80% | 70% |
| Afan Lido | WLDLD | 1.50 | 1.70 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Apr 2026 · Cardiff Draconians 4–1 Afan Lido
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 70% | 1.32 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| Double Chance 1X | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.68 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 49% | 1.92 |
| Cardiff Draconians Win | 38% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FAW Championship matches that day
- Newtown AFC vs Buckley Town · 31 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: Newtown AFC Draw No Bet @ 1.22 - Aberystwyth Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds · 31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Brickfield Rangers vs Bala Town · 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.38 - Caersws vs Bangor City 1876 FC · 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.35 - Gresford Athletic vs Ruthin Town · 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.49 - Guilsfield vs Porthmadog · 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.49 - Holyhead Hotspur vs Penrhyncoch · 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Llanuwchllyn vs Denbigh Town · 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.32 - Mold Alexandra vs Rhyl · 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Llantwit Major vs Newport City · 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 - Ynyshir Albions vs Swansea University · 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 1X