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FAW Championship · Wales
Aberystwyth Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Park Avenue, Aberystwyth
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Aberystwyth Town host Trethomas Bluebirds in the FAW Championship (Wales) on 31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Aberystwyth Town had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 27 and conceding 10. Trethomas Bluebirds had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Aberystwyth Town's last 10 and 9 of Trethomas Bluebirds's last 10; 7 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Aberystwyth Town averaged 2.29 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Trethomas Bluebirds averaged 1.38 scored and 2.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.76 goals from Aberystwyth Town and 1.05 from Trethomas Bluebirds. From that it rates a home win at 73%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 11%, against 55%, 22% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Aberystwyth Town (green) and Trethomas Bluebirds (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberystwyth Town | WLWDW | 2.70 | 1.00 | 60% | 70% |
| Trethomas Bluebirds | WLWLD | 2.20 | 2.30 | 90% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.53 |
| Aberystwyth Town Win | 60% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.52 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.64 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 48% | 1.92 |
| Aberystwyth Town HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Aberystwyth Town form and statistics
- Trethomas Bluebirds form and statistics
- FAW Championship statistics
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Published pick: Double Chance 1X