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J3 League · Japan
FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Ryukyu host Tochigi SC in the J3 League (Japan) on 17 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Ryukyu 1–0 Tochigi SC.
Going into the match, FC Ryukyu had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 16. Tochigi SC had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of FC Ryukyu's last 10 and 6 of Tochigi SC's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Ryukyu averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.55 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Tochigi SC averaged 0.73 scored and 1.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.31 goals from FC Ryukyu and 0.82 from Tochigi SC. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 22%, against 34%, 28% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 42%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Ryukyu (green) and Tochigi SC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Ryukyu | LLDLW | 1.30 | 1.60 | 60% | 70% |
| Tochigi SC | LDLLD | 0.90 | 1.70 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.43 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.65 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Tochigi SC Win | 38% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J3 League matches that day
- Kagoshima United vs Ehime FC · 17 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.63 - Kanazawa vs Nara Club · 17 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.49 - Gainare Tottori vs Thespakusatsu Gunma · 17 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.55 - FC Gifu vs Fukushima United · 17 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Kitakyushu vs Osaka · 17 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 3–1