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J3 League · Japan
Gainare Tottori vs Thespakusatsu Gunma prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gainare Tottori host Thespakusatsu Gunma in the J3 League (Japan) on 17 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gainare Tottori 1–1 Thespakusatsu Gunma.
Going into the match, Gainare Tottori had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Thespakusatsu Gunma had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Gainare Tottori's last 10 and 7 of Thespakusatsu Gunma's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gainare Tottori averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.31 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Thespakusatsu Gunma averaged 1.25 scored and 2.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.25 goals from Gainare Tottori and 1.21 from Thespakusatsu Gunma. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 19%, against 37%, 26% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gainare Tottori (green) and Thespakusatsu Gunma (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gainare Tottori | LLDWW | 1.50 | 1.70 | 50% | 60% |
| Thespakusatsu Gunma | WLLWL | 1.10 | 2.00 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.51 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.05 |
| Gainare Tottori Win | 36% | 2.45 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J3 League matches that day
- Kagoshima United vs Ehime FC · 17 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.63 - Kanazawa vs Nara Club · 17 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.49 - FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC · 17 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.65 · FT 1–0 - FC Gifu vs Fukushima United · 17 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Kitakyushu vs Osaka · 17 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 3–1