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J3 League · Japan
Kagoshima United vs Ehime FC prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kagoshima United host Ehime FC in the J3 League (Japan) on 17 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.63, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kagoshima United 4–2 Ehime FC.
Going into the match, Kagoshima United had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 13. Ehime FC had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Kagoshima United's last 10 and 6 of Ehime FC's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kagoshima United averaged 1.55 goals scored and 0.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Ehime FC averaged 1.67 scored and 0.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.76 goals from Kagoshima United and 1.37 from Ehime FC. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 29%, against 44%, 26% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kagoshima United (green) and Ehime FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kagoshima United | LLWDW | 1.90 | 1.30 | 60% | 60% |
| Ehime FC | WWLDW | 1.70 | 1.20 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.45 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.63 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J3 League matches that day
- Kanazawa vs Nara Club · 17 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.49 - FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC · 17 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.65 · FT 1–0 - Gainare Tottori vs Thespakusatsu Gunma · 17 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.55 - FC Gifu vs Fukushima United · 17 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Kitakyushu vs Osaka · 17 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 3–1