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Primera Nacional · Argentina

Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 65%Final score 2–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Colon Santa Fe host Almirante Brown in the Primera Nacional (Argentina) on 17 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Colon Santa Fe 2–2 Almirante Brown.

Going into the match, Colon Santa Fe had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 6. Almirante Brown had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 9 conceded.

Both teams scored in 2 of Colon Santa Fe's last 10 and 3 of Almirante Brown's last 10; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Colon Santa Fe averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Almirante Brown averaged 0.67 scored and 1.00 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.12 goals from Colon Santa Fe and 0.59 from Almirante Brown. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 18%, against 56%, 29% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Colon Santa Fe (green) and Almirante Brown (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form80% – 20%
Attack57% – 43%
Defence75% – 25%
Head-to-head62% – 38%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength66% – 33%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Colon Santa FeDWDWL1.100.6020%40%
Almirante BrownDLLLD0.900.9030%20%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals75%1.25
Double Chance 1271%1.36
Under 2.5 Goals65%1.44
BTTS No63%1.44
Over 1.5 Goals60%1.53
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals60%1.57
Colon Santa Fe Win54%1.67
Under 1.5 Goals40%2.38

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Primera Nacional matches that day