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Primera Nacional · Argentina
Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportivo Moron host Atletico Mitre in the Primera Nacional (Argentina) on 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Deportivo Moron Win — Deportivo Moron to win. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Deportivo Moron 0–2 Atletico Mitre.
Going into the match, Deportivo Moron had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Atletico Mitre had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Deportivo Moron's last 10 and 3 of Atletico Mitre's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportivo Moron averaged 1.92 goals scored and 0.77 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Atletico Mitre averaged 0.75 scored and 1.42 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.89 goals from Deportivo Moron and 0.82 from Atletico Mitre. From that it rates a home win at 61%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 15%, against 58%, 29% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Deportivo Moron (green) and Atletico Mitre (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Moron | LWLLW | 1.40 | 1.20 | 70% | 70% |
| Atletico Mitre | DWLLD | 0.70 | 1.20 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 31 May 2026 · Atletico Mitre 1–3 Deportivo Moron
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.36 |
| BTTS No | 65% | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Deportivo Moron Win | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 39% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera Nacional matches that day
- Chaco For Ever vs Central Norte · 18 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 1–2 - Club Atlético Güemes vs Almagro · 18 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Almagro Win @ 1.33 · FT 2–1 - Ferro Carril Oeste vs Racing Cordoba · 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Ferro Carril Oeste Win @ 1.53 - Los Andes vs All Boys · 18 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 - Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy · 18 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.30 · FT 0–1 - Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown · 17 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.44