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Primera Nacional · Argentina
Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nueva Chicago host Gimnasia Jujuy in the Primera Nacional (Argentina) on 18 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Nueva Chicago to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Nueva Chicago 0–1 Gimnasia Jujuy.
Going into the match, Nueva Chicago had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 10. Gimnasia Jujuy had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Nueva Chicago's last 10 and 8 of Gimnasia Jujuy's last 10; 1 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nueva Chicago averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.77 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Gimnasia Jujuy averaged 1.15 scored and 1.54 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.91 goals from Nueva Chicago and 1.06 from Gimnasia Jujuy. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 37%, against 42%, 31% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nueva Chicago (green) and Gimnasia Jujuy (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nueva Chicago | LLWDL | 0.40 | 1.00 | 20% | 10% |
| Gimnasia Jujuy | DLDDW | 1.50 | 1.50 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 Jun 2026 · Gimnasia Jujuy 4–0 Nueva Chicago
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.62 |
| Nueva Chicago Win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera Nacional matches that day
- Chaco For Ever vs Central Norte · 18 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 1–2 - Club Atlético Güemes vs Almagro · 18 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Almagro Win @ 1.33 · FT 2–1 - Ferro Carril Oeste vs Racing Cordoba · 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Ferro Carril Oeste Win @ 1.53 - Los Andes vs All Boys · 18 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 - Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre · 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Deportivo Moron Win @ 1.57 · FT 0–2 - Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown · 17 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.44