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Primera Nacional · Argentina
Club Atlético Güemes vs Almagro prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Club Atlético Güemes host Almagro in the Primera Nacional (Argentina) on 18 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Almagro Win — Almagro to win. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Club Atlético Güemes 2–1 Almagro.
Going into the match, Club Atlético Güemes had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 14. Almagro had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Club Atlético Güemes's last 10 and 6 of Almagro's last 10; 1 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Club Atlético Güemes averaged 0.58 goals scored and 1.58 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Almagro averaged 0.92 scored and 1.67 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.93 goals from Club Atlético Güemes and 1.27 from Almagro. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 43%, against 11%, 20% and 69% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 43%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Club Atlético Güemes (green) and Almagro (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Atlético Güemes | LLLLL | 0.30 | 1.40 | 30% | 10% |
| Almagro | WWLLD | 1.00 | 1.30 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 31 May 2026 · Almagro 2–0 Club Atlético Güemes
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Almagro Win | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 64% | 1.46 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Almagro HT & FT | 48% | 1.95 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.08 |
| 0-1 | 17% | 5.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera Nacional matches that day
- Chaco For Ever vs Central Norte · 18 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 1–2 - Ferro Carril Oeste vs Racing Cordoba · 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Ferro Carril Oeste Win @ 1.53 - Los Andes vs All Boys · 18 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 - Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy · 18 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.30 · FT 0–1 - Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre · 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Deportivo Moron Win @ 1.57 · FT 0–2 - Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown · 17 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.44