Home › League stats › Premier League › Chelsea vs Manchester United
Premier League · England
Chelsea vs Manchester United prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chelsea host Manchester United in the Premier League (England) on 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Chelsea had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 17. Manchester United had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Chelsea's last 10 and 6 of Manchester United's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chelsea averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.56 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Manchester United averaged 1.36 scored and 1.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.41 goals from Chelsea and 1.59 from Manchester United. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 24%, against 52%, 25% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chelsea (green) and Manchester United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | DLWWL | 2.30 | 1.70 | 60% | 60% |
| Manchester United | LLDLD | 1.20 | 1.80 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Apr 2026 · Chelsea 0–1 Manchester United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Aston Villa vs Fulham · 31 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Tottenham vs Crystal Palace · 31 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Tottenham Win @ 1.50 - Bournemouth vs Leeds · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 - Brentford vs Nottingham Forest · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Coventry vs Sunderland · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 - Hull City vs Ipswich · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Manchester City vs Brighton · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44