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Premier League · England
Aston Villa vs Fulham prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Aston Villa host Fulham in the Premier League (England) on 31 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Aston Villa had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 13. Fulham had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Aston Villa's last 10 and 4 of Fulham's last 10; 9 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Aston Villa averaged 2.75 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Fulham averaged 1.00 scored and 1.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.81 goals from Aston Villa and 0.81 from Fulham. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 15%, against 49%, 25% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Aston Villa (green) and Fulham (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | LWWWW | 2.40 | 1.30 | 70% | 90% |
| Fulham | LWWLD | 1.20 | 1.00 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Apr 2026 · Fulham 1–0 Aston Villa
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Tottenham vs Crystal Palace · 31 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Tottenham Win @ 1.50 - Bournemouth vs Leeds · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 - Brentford vs Nottingham Forest · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Coventry vs Sunderland · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 - Hull City vs Ipswich · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Manchester City vs Brighton · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Chelsea vs Manchester United · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53