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Premier League · England
Bournemouth vs Leeds prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bournemouth host Leeds in the Premier League (England) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Bournemouth had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 9. Leeds had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Bournemouth's last 10 and 6 of Leeds's last 10; 8 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bournemouth averaged 2.92 goals scored and 0.69 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Leeds averaged 1.40 scored and 1.53 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.76 goals from Bournemouth and 0.96 from Leeds. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 19%, against 46%, 28% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bournemouth (green) and Leeds (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | WWWWW | 2.30 | 0.90 | 30% | 80% |
| Leeds | DDLDW | 1.40 | 1.20 | 60% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Apr 2026 · Bournemouth 2–2 Leeds
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Aston Villa vs Fulham · 31 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Tottenham vs Crystal Palace · 31 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Tottenham Win @ 1.50 - Brentford vs Nottingham Forest · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Coventry vs Sunderland · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 - Hull City vs Ipswich · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Manchester City vs Brighton · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Chelsea vs Manchester United · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53