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Premier League · England
Brentford vs Nottingham Forest prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Brentford host Nottingham Forest in the Premier League (England) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Brentford had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 14. Nottingham Forest had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Brentford's last 10 and 4 of Nottingham Forest's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Brentford averaged 2.50 goals scored and 0.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Nottingham Forest averaged 1.57 scored and 1.64 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.02 goals from Brentford and 0.80 from Nottingham Forest. From that it rates a home win at 65%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 13%, against 47%, 27% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Brentford (green) and Nottingham Forest (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford | LDLDW | 2.10 | 1.40 | 90% | 70% |
| Nottingham Forest | DLLLW | 0.80 | 1.20 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Aston Villa vs Fulham · 31 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Tottenham vs Crystal Palace · 31 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Tottenham Win @ 1.50 - Bournemouth vs Leeds · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 - Coventry vs Sunderland · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 - Hull City vs Ipswich · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Manchester City vs Brighton · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Chelsea vs Manchester United · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53