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Primera División · Venezuela
Carabobo FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Carabobo FC host Deportivo Tachira FC in the Primera División (Venezuela) on 17 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Carabobo FC 2–2 Deportivo Tachira FC.
Going into the match, Carabobo FC had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Deportivo Tachira FC had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Carabobo FC's last 10 and 8 of Deportivo Tachira FC's last 10; 1 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Carabobo FC averaged 1.64 goals scored and 0.64 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Deportivo Tachira FC averaged 1.90 scored and 1.50 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from Carabobo FC and 1.19 from Deportivo Tachira FC. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 32%, against 41%, 29% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Carabobo FC (green) and Deportivo Tachira FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carabobo FC | WDWWW | 1.10 | 0.70 | 30% | 10% |
| Deportivo Tachira FC | WWDLW | 2.40 | 1.50 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 May 2026 · Carabobo FC 1–1 Deportivo Tachira FC
- 10 May 2026 · Deportivo Tachira FC 3–1 Carabobo FC
- 26 Apr 2026 · Deportivo Tachira FC 2–1 Carabobo FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 Goals | 74% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 1X | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera División matches that day
- Rayo Zuliano vs Caracas FC · 18 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Puerto Cabello vs Monagas SC · 18 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25 - UCV vs Portuguesa FC · 18 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 0–0 - Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Metropolitanos FC · 18 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30