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Primera División · Venezuela
Puerto Cabello vs Monagas SC prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Puerto Cabello host Monagas SC in the Primera División (Venezuela) on 18 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Puerto Cabello 3–3 Monagas SC.
Going into the match, Puerto Cabello had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Monagas SC had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Puerto Cabello's last 10 and 6 of Monagas SC's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Puerto Cabello averaged 1.92 goals scored and 0.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Monagas SC averaged 1.80 scored and 1.50 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from Puerto Cabello and 1.10 from Monagas SC. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 29%, against 54%, 26% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Puerto Cabello (green) and Monagas SC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puerto Cabello | WWDLD | 1.20 | 0.60 | 40% | 20% |
| Monagas SC | WWLDW | 1.60 | 1.00 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Apr 2026 · Monagas SC 1–1 Puerto Cabello
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Puerto Cabello Win | 54% | 1.65 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera División matches that day
- Rayo Zuliano vs Caracas FC · 18 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - UCV vs Portuguesa FC · 18 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 0–0 - Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Metropolitanos FC · 18 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Carabobo FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC · 17 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 · FT 2–2