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Primera División · Venezuela
Rayo Zuliano vs Caracas FC prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rayo Zuliano host Caracas FC in the Primera División (Venezuela) on 18 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Rayo Zuliano 1–2 Caracas FC.
Going into the match, Rayo Zuliano had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 20. Caracas FC had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Rayo Zuliano's last 10 and 4 of Caracas FC's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rayo Zuliano averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Caracas FC averaged 1.43 scored and 1.43 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.54 goals from Rayo Zuliano and 1.63 from Caracas FC. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 39%, against 21%, 24% and 54% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rayo Zuliano (green) and Caracas FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Zuliano | DLWDW | 1.50 | 2.00 | 70% | 60% |
| Caracas FC | LWWDL | 1.40 | 1.00 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Apr 2026 · Caracas FC 2–1 Rayo Zuliano
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 80% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Caracas FC Win | 55% | 1.65 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera División matches that day
- Puerto Cabello vs Monagas SC · 18 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25 - UCV vs Portuguesa FC · 18 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 0–0 - Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Metropolitanos FC · 18 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Carabobo FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC · 17 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 · FT 2–2