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Primera División · Venezuela
UCV vs Portuguesa FC prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
UCV host Portuguesa FC in the Primera División (Venezuela) on 18 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: UCV 0–0 Portuguesa FC.
Going into the match, UCV had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Portuguesa FC had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of UCV's last 10 and 7 of Portuguesa FC's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home UCV averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Portuguesa FC averaged 1.20 scored and 1.30 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.03 goals from UCV and 1.02 from Portuguesa FC. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 33%, against 46%, 28% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between UCV (green) and Portuguesa FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCV | LDWWD | 1.10 | 1.20 | 50% | 30% |
| Portuguesa FC | DLWDD | 1.30 | 1.10 | 70% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 May 2026 · UCV 2–3 Portuguesa FC
- 3 May 2026 · Portuguesa FC 1–1 UCV
- 26 Apr 2026 · Portuguesa FC 3–0 UCV
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera División matches that day
- Rayo Zuliano vs Caracas FC · 18 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Puerto Cabello vs Monagas SC · 18 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25 - Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Metropolitanos FC · 18 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Carabobo FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC · 17 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 · FT 2–2