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Cup · Bulgaria
Beroe vs Ludogorets prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Beroe host Ludogorets in the Cup (Bulgaria) on 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Beroe 0–3 Ludogorets.
Going into the match, Beroe had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 14. Ludogorets had won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Beroe's last 10 and 6 of Ludogorets's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Beroe averaged 1.62 goals scored and 0.46 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Ludogorets averaged 0.90 scored and 0.90 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.55 goals from Beroe and 3.10 from Ludogorets. From that it rates a home win at 3%, a draw at 10% and an away win at 86%, against 8%, 12% and 79% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Beroe (green) and Ludogorets (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beroe | LWWLW | 1.60 | 1.40 | 50% | 60% |
| Ludogorets | WWWWW | 2.60 | 0.70 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets HT & FT | 62% | 1.53 |
| Ludogorets 1st Half Win | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 60% | 1.54 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.58 |
| 0-3 | 15% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Cup matches that day
- Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Septemvri Sofia · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.90 - Marek vs Cherno More Varna · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.70 - Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar 1918 · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals - Rilski Sportist vs Dunav Ruse · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.28 · FT 2–3 - Vihren vs Lokomotiv Sofia · 17 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 1–2