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Derde Divisie · Netherlands
Zwaluwen vs Excelsior Maassluis prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Zwaluwen host Excelsior Maassluis in the Derde Divisie (Netherlands) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Excelsior Maassluis to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Zwaluwen 0–2 Excelsior Maassluis.
Going into the match, Zwaluwen had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 9. Excelsior Maassluis had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Zwaluwen's last 10 and 4 of Excelsior Maassluis's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Zwaluwen averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Excelsior Maassluis averaged 1.33 scored and 1.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.91 goals from Zwaluwen and 1.38 from Excelsior Maassluis. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 47%. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Zwaluwen (green) and Excelsior Maassluis (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zwaluwen | WWWLW | 1.80 | 0.90 | 40% | 40% |
| Excelsior Maassluis | WWWWW | 2.10 | 0.70 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other Derde Divisie matches that day
- Gemert vs Achilles Veen · 17 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.42 · FT 2–0 - Hoogeveen vs ACV · 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.41 - Blauw Geel vs Poortugaal · 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Purmersteijn vs Sparta Nijkerk · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 3–0 - Sportlust '46 vs ADO '20 · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 1–3 - TOGB vs Vvsb · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals - VV Scherpenzeel vs TEC · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 1–1 - SVZW vs Hollandia · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 0–1 - Eemdijk vs Hercules · 17 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals · FT 2–0 - Excelsior '31 vs SC Genemuiden · 17 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Rijnvogels vs Noordwijk · 17 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 0–3 - Staphorst vs DVS 33 Ermelo · 17 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals · FT 2–1