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Derde Divisie · Netherlands

Hoogeveen vs ACV prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.41Market probability 66%Final score 1–4

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Hoogeveen host ACV in the Derde Divisie (Netherlands) on 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.41, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Hoogeveen 1–4 ACV.

Going into the match, Hoogeveen had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 19. ACV had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 29 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 9 of Hoogeveen's last 10 and 7 of ACV's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hoogeveen averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.78 conceded across 9 matches; away from home ACV averaged 2.57 scored and 2.43 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.42 goals from Hoogeveen and 2.57 from ACV. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 62%, against 33%, 22% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Hoogeveen (green) and ACV (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form47% – 53%
Attack50% – 50%
Defence47% – 53%
Head-to-head0% – 100%
Goals33% – 67%
Overall strength42% – 58%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
HoogeveenLWWLL2.101.9090%80%
ACVDLWWW2.901.1070%70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals75%1.22
BTTS 1st Half - No71%1.30
Double Chance X267%1.36
BTTS Yes65%1.41
Over 2.5 Goals64%1.44
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals56%1.63
ACV Win44%2.00
Under 2.5 Goals36%2.62

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Derde Divisie matches that day