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Derde Divisie · Netherlands
Gemert vs Achilles Veen prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gemert host Achilles Veen in the Derde Divisie (Netherlands) on 17 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gemert 2–0 Achilles Veen.
Going into the match, Gemert had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 15. Achilles Veen had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 26 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Gemert's last 10 and 4 of Achilles Veen's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gemert averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Achilles Veen averaged 0.40 scored and 3.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.52 goals from Gemert and 0.94 from Achilles Veen. From that it rates a home win at 71%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 11%, against 49%, 23% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gemert (green) and Achilles Veen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemert | LLWWD | 1.50 | 1.50 | 60% | 60% |
| Achilles Veen | WLLLL | 1.10 | 2.60 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.63 |
| Gemert Win | 51% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Derde Divisie matches that day
- Hoogeveen vs ACV · 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.41 - Blauw Geel vs Poortugaal · 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Purmersteijn vs Sparta Nijkerk · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 3–0 - Sportlust '46 vs ADO '20 · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 1–3 - TOGB vs Vvsb · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals - VV Scherpenzeel vs TEC · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 1–1 - SVZW vs Hollandia · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 0–1 - Eemdijk vs Hercules · 17 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals · FT 2–0 - Excelsior '31 vs SC Genemuiden · 17 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Rijnvogels vs Noordwijk · 17 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 0–3 - Staphorst vs DVS 33 Ermelo · 17 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals · FT 2–1 - Zwaluwen vs Excelsior Maassluis · 17 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 0–2