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Derde Divisie · Netherlands

Staphorst vs DVS 33 Ermelo prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsNo priceFinal score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Staphorst host DVS 33 Ermelo in the Derde Divisie (Netherlands) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Staphorst 2–1 DVS 33 Ermelo.

Going into the match, Staphorst had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 22. DVS 33 Ermelo had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 20 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Staphorst's last 10 and 7 of DVS 33 Ermelo's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Staphorst averaged 1.56 goals scored and 2.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home DVS 33 Ermelo averaged 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.79 goals from Staphorst and 1.24 from DVS 33 Ermelo. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 25%. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Staphorst (green) and DVS 33 Ermelo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form44% – 56%
Attack50% – 50%
Defence45% – 55%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals54% – 46%
Overall strength46% – 53%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
StaphorstWLLLL1.502.2080%70%
DVS 33 ErmeloDLLLW1.302.0070%70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

More on this match

Other Derde Divisie matches that day