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III Liga - Group 3 · Poland
Zagłębie Lubin II vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Zagłębie Lubin II host Zaglebie Sosnowiec in the III Liga - Group 3 (Poland) on 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Zagłębie Lubin II 0–1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec.
Going into the match, Zagłębie Lubin II had won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 12. Zaglebie Sosnowiec had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Zagłębie Lubin II's last 10 and 4 of Zaglebie Sosnowiec's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Zagłębie Lubin II averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.93 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Zaglebie Sosnowiec averaged 0.92 scored and 1.46 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.40 goals from Zagłębie Lubin II and 1.22 from Zaglebie Sosnowiec. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 31%, against 40%, 25% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Zagłębie Lubin II (green) and Zaglebie Sosnowiec (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zagłębie Lubin II | DDDWD | 2.10 | 1.20 | 70% | 60% |
| Zaglebie Sosnowiec | WWWLW | 1.60 | 0.90 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.26 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.48 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.51 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| Zagłębie Lubin II Win | 40% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Zagłębie Lubin II form and statistics
- Zaglebie Sosnowiec form and statistics
- III Liga - Group 3 statistics
Other III Liga - Group 3 matches that day
- Kluczbork vs Miedź Legnica II · 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 2–0 - Ślęza Wrocław vs Carina Gubin · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.48 - Stilon Gorzów vs Odra Bytom Odrzański · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Stal Brzeg vs Górnik Polkowice · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Barycz Sułów · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 - Sparta Katowice vs ROW Rybnik · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.52 - Rakow II vs Warta Gorzów · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.55 · FT 3–2