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III Liga - Group 3 · Poland
Rakow II vs Warta Gorzów prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rakow II host Warta Gorzów in the III Liga - Group 3 (Poland) on 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Rakow II 3–2 Warta Gorzów.
Going into the match, Rakow II had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 15. Warta Gorzów had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Rakow II's last 10 and 5 of Warta Gorzów's last 10; 5 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rakow II averaged 0.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Warta Gorzów averaged 0.85 scored and 1.92 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.80 goals from Rakow II and 0.97 from Warta Gorzów. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 19%, against 39%, 25% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rakow II (green) and Warta Gorzów (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rakow II | LLWDW | 0.90 | 1.50 | 50% | 50% |
| Warta Gorzów | LDDLW | 0.80 | 1.20 | 50% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.26 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.00 |
| Rakow II Win | 38% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other III Liga - Group 3 matches that day
- Kluczbork vs Miedź Legnica II · 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 2–0 - Ślęza Wrocław vs Carina Gubin · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.48 - Stilon Gorzów vs Odra Bytom Odrzański · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Stal Brzeg vs Górnik Polkowice · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Barycz Sułów · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 - Sparta Katowice vs ROW Rybnik · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.52 - Zagłębie Lubin II vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.48 · FT 0–1