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III Liga - Group 3 · Poland
Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Barycz Sułów prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Goczałkowice Zdrój host Barycz Sułów in the III Liga - Group 3 (Poland) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Goczałkowice Zdrój 3–1 Barycz Sułów.
Going into the match, Goczałkowice Zdrój had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 15. Barycz Sułów had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Goczałkowice Zdrój's last 10 and 4 of Barycz Sułów's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Goczałkowice Zdrój averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Barycz Sułów averaged 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.34 goals from Goczałkowice Zdrój and 1.34 from Barycz Sułów. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 36%, against 38%, 25% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Goczałkowice Zdrój (green) and Barycz Sułów (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goczałkowice Zdrój | LLWLW | 1.00 | 1.50 | 20% | 40% |
| Barycz Sułów | DLWWW | 1.70 | 1.10 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.21 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.46 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.10 |
| Goczałkowice Zdrój Win | 38% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other III Liga - Group 3 matches that day
- Kluczbork vs Miedź Legnica II · 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 2–0 - Ślęza Wrocław vs Carina Gubin · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.48 - Stilon Gorzów vs Odra Bytom Odrzański · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Stal Brzeg vs Górnik Polkowice · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Sparta Katowice vs ROW Rybnik · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.52 - Zagłębie Lubin II vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.48 · FT 0–1 - Rakow II vs Warta Gorzów · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.55 · FT 3–2