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III Liga - Group 3 · Poland
Sparta Katowice vs ROW Rybnik prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sparta Katowice host ROW Rybnik in the III Liga - Group 3 (Poland) on 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.52, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sparta Katowice 2–0 ROW Rybnik.
Going into the match, Sparta Katowice had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 6. ROW Rybnik had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Sparta Katowice's last 10 and 6 of ROW Rybnik's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sparta Katowice averaged 2.17 goals scored and 0.58 conceded across 12 matches; away from home ROW Rybnik averaged 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.31 goals from Sparta Katowice and 0.80 from ROW Rybnik. From that it rates a home win at 70%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 11%, against 51%, 24% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sparta Katowice (green) and ROW Rybnik (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Katowice | DWWDW | 1.90 | 0.60 | 60% | 50% |
| ROW Rybnik | WWWDD | 2.00 | 1.70 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.52 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.57 |
| Sparta Katowice Win | 53% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other III Liga - Group 3 matches that day
- Kluczbork vs Miedź Legnica II · 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 2–0 - Ślęza Wrocław vs Carina Gubin · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.48 - Stilon Gorzów vs Odra Bytom Odrzański · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Stal Brzeg vs Górnik Polkowice · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Barycz Sułów · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 - Zagłębie Lubin II vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.48 · FT 0–1 - Rakow II vs Warta Gorzów · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.55 · FT 3–2