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Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Wisla Krakow host Raków Częstochowa in the Ekstraklasa (Poland) on 24 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Wisla Krakow had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 13. Raków Częstochowa had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Wisla Krakow's last 10 and 9 of Raków Częstochowa's last 10; 5 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Wisla Krakow averaged 1.93 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Raków Częstochowa averaged 1.63 scored and 1.63 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.87 goals from Wisla Krakow and 1.38 from Raków Częstochowa. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 27%, against 52%, 24% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Wisla Krakow (green) and Raków Częstochowa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisla Krakow | DLWWW | 1.50 | 1.30 | 60% | 50% |
| Raków Częstochowa | WLWLL | 1.80 | 2.30 | 90% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ekstraklasa matches that day
- Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom · 24 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Ekstraklasa
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice · 24 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ekstraklasa
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow · 24 Oct 2026, 10:15 UTC · Ekstraklasa
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44