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Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Pogon Szczecin host Radomiak Radom in the Ekstraklasa (Poland) on 24 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Pogon Szczecin had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 8. Radomiak Radom had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Pogon Szczecin's last 10 and 4 of Radomiak Radom's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Pogon Szczecin averaged 1.64 goals scored and 0.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Radomiak Radom averaged 0.75 scored and 2.25 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.06 goals from Pogon Szczecin and 0.76 from Radomiak Radom. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 12%, against 52%, 25% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Pogon Szczecin (green) and Radomiak Radom (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogon Szczecin | WWDWW | 1.50 | 0.80 | 60% | 40% |
| Radomiak Radom | LLWLL | 1.30 | 1.90 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.65 |
| Pogon Szczecin Win | 53% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ekstraklasa matches that day
- Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa · 24 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC · Ekstraklasa
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice · 24 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ekstraklasa
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow · 24 Oct 2026, 10:15 UTC · Ekstraklasa
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44