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Ekstraklasa · Poland
Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 10:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Piast Gliwice host Cracovia Krakow in the Ekstraklasa (Poland) on 24 Oct 2026, 10:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Piast Gliwice had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 13. Cracovia Krakow had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Piast Gliwice's last 10 and 9 of Cracovia Krakow's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Piast Gliwice averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.79 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Cracovia Krakow averaged 1.00 scored and 1.78 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.58 goals from Piast Gliwice and 1.14 from Cracovia Krakow. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 26%, against 37%, 27% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Piast Gliwice (green) and Cracovia Krakow (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piast Gliwice | DWLLW | 2.10 | 1.30 | 60% | 60% |
| Cracovia Krakow | DWLLL | 1.60 | 1.80 | 90% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ekstraklasa matches that day
- Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa · 24 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC · Ekstraklasa
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom · 24 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Ekstraklasa
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice · 24 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ekstraklasa
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50