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Ekstraklasa · Poland
Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Korona Kielce host GKS Katowice in the Ekstraklasa (Poland) on 24 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Korona Kielce had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 20. GKS Katowice had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Korona Kielce's last 10 and 6 of GKS Katowice's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Korona Kielce averaged 1.07 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 14 matches; away from home GKS Katowice averaged 1.38 scored and 1.77 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.04 goals from Korona Kielce and 1.47 from GKS Katowice. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 46%, against 44%, 26% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Korona Kielce (green) and GKS Katowice (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce | LLLWL | 1.20 | 2.00 | 60% | 40% |
| GKS Katowice | LWWDW | 1.90 | 1.40 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Apr 2026 · Korona Kielce 1–1 GKS Katowice
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ekstraklasa matches that day
- Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa · 24 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC · Ekstraklasa
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom · 24 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Ekstraklasa
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow · 24 Oct 2026, 10:15 UTC · Ekstraklasa
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44