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Non League Premier - Isthmian · England
Wingate & Finchley vs Stanway Rovers prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Wingate & Finchley host Stanway Rovers in the Non League Premier - Isthmian (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Wingate & Finchley 4–1 Stanway Rovers.
Going into the match, Wingate & Finchley had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 16. Stanway Rovers had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 24 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Wingate & Finchley's last 10 and 6 of Stanway Rovers's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Wingate & Finchley averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Stanway Rovers averaged 1.43 scored and 2.43 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.86 goals from Wingate & Finchley and 0.69 from Stanway Rovers. From that it rates a home win at 81%, a draw at 13% and an away win at 6%, against 58%, 21% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Wingate & Finchley (green) and Stanway Rovers (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wingate & Finchley | WLLDW | 1.90 | 1.60 | 70% | 70% |
| Stanway Rovers | LLLWL | 0.80 | 2.40 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.24 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Wingate & Finchley Win | 56% | 1.53 |
| Wingate & Finchley HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
| 2-1 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Wingate & Finchley form and statistics
- Stanway Rovers form and statistics
- Non League Premier - Isthmian statistics
Other Non League Premier - Isthmian matches that day
- Aveley vs Chatham Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.52 - Cheshunt vs Whitehawk · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: Cheshunt Win @ 1.57 · FT 1–1 - Dulwich Hamlet vs Carshalton Athletic · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.51 · FT 2–2 - Lewes vs Maldon & Tiptree · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: Lewes Win @ 1.53 · FT 1–1 - Three Bridges vs Enfield Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: Enfield Town Win @ 1.48 - Welling United vs Burgess Hill Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.61 - Whyteleafe vs Dartford · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58