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Non League Premier - Isthmian · England
Lewes vs Maldon & Tiptree prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lewes host Maldon & Tiptree in the Non League Premier - Isthmian (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Lewes Win — Lewes to win. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lewes 1–1 Maldon & Tiptree.
Going into the match, Lewes had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 13. Maldon & Tiptree had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 9 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 32 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Lewes's last 10 and 7 of Maldon & Tiptree's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lewes averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Maldon & Tiptree averaged 1.29 scored and 3.86 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.46 goals from Lewes and 0.75 from Maldon & Tiptree. From that it rates a home win at 74%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 9%, against 59%, 21% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lewes (green) and Maldon & Tiptree (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewes | WWWLL | 1.50 | 1.30 | 60% | 70% |
| Maldon & Tiptree | LLLLL | 1.00 | 3.20 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.53 |
| Lewes Win | 60% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.65 |
| Lewes HT & FT | 40% | 2.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 37% | 2.38 |
| 2-0 | 10% | 9.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Lewes form and statistics
- Maldon & Tiptree form and statistics
- Non League Premier - Isthmian statistics
Other Non League Premier - Isthmian matches that day
- Aveley vs Chatham Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.52 - Cheshunt vs Whitehawk · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: Cheshunt Win @ 1.57 · FT 1–1 - Dulwich Hamlet vs Carshalton Athletic · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.51 · FT 2–2 - Three Bridges vs Enfield Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: Enfield Town Win @ 1.48 - Welling United vs Burgess Hill Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.61 - Whyteleafe vs Dartford · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 - Wingate & Finchley vs Stanway Rovers · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40