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Non League Premier - Isthmian · England
Aveley vs Chatham Town prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Aveley host Chatham Town in the Non League Premier - Isthmian (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.52, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Aveley 1–0 Chatham Town.
Going into the match, Aveley had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 19. Chatham Town had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Aveley's last 10 and 4 of Chatham Town's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Aveley averaged 2.13 goals scored and 2.60 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Chatham Town averaged 1.90 scored and 1.30 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.56 goals from Aveley and 2.02 from Chatham Town. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 48%, against 42%, 25% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Aveley (green) and Chatham Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aveley | DLLWL | 1.70 | 1.90 | 70% | 60% |
| Chatham Town | WWLLW | 1.80 | 1.20 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.51 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.52 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.25 |
| Aveley Win | 40% | 2.15 |
| Aveley HT & FT | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Non League Premier - Isthmian matches that day
- Cheshunt vs Whitehawk · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: Cheshunt Win @ 1.57 · FT 1–1 - Dulwich Hamlet vs Carshalton Athletic · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.51 · FT 2–2 - Lewes vs Maldon & Tiptree · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: Lewes Win @ 1.53 · FT 1–1 - Three Bridges vs Enfield Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: Enfield Town Win @ 1.48 - Welling United vs Burgess Hill Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.61 - Whyteleafe vs Dartford · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 - Wingate & Finchley vs Stanway Rovers · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40