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Frauen Bundesliga · Germany
Werder Bremen W vs SC Freiburg W prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Werder Bremen W host SC Freiburg W in the Frauen Bundesliga (Germany) on 25 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Werder Bremen W 4–3 SC Freiburg W.
Going into the match, Werder Bremen W had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 12. SC Freiburg W had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Werder Bremen W's last 10 and 6 of SC Freiburg W's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Werder Bremen W averaged 1.83 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home SC Freiburg W averaged 1.71 scored and 1.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.24 goals from Werder Bremen W and 1.00 from SC Freiburg W. From that it rates a home win at 65%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 15%, against 51%, 23% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Werder Bremen W (green) and SC Freiburg W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen W | LWDWL | 2.10 | 1.20 | 50% | 60% |
| SC Freiburg W | LWWLW | 1.30 | 1.60 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.57 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Werder Bremen W Win | 51% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Frauen Bundesliga matches that day
- Hamburger SV W vs Union Berlin W · 25 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Frauen Bundesliga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Nürnberg W vs Bayer Leverkusen W · 25 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Frauen Bundesliga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - 1899 Hoffenheim W vs Mainz 05 W · 25 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Frauen Bundesliga
Published pick: 1899 Hoffenheim W 1st Half Win @ 1.53 · FT 3–1