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Frauen Bundesliga · Germany
1899 Hoffenheim W vs Mainz 05 W prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
1899 Hoffenheim W host Mainz 05 W in the Frauen Bundesliga (Germany) on 25 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is 1899 Hoffenheim W 1st Half Win — 1899 Hoffenheim W 1st Half Win. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: 1899 Hoffenheim W 3–1 Mainz 05 W.
Going into the match, 1899 Hoffenheim W had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 13. Mainz 05 W had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 25 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of 1899 Hoffenheim W's last 10 and 3 of Mainz 05 W's last 10; 6 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home 1899 Hoffenheim W averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Mainz 05 W averaged 2.33 scored and 2.00 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.41 goals from 1899 Hoffenheim W and 1.31 from Mainz 05 W. From that it rates a home win at 61%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 19%, against 77%, 14% and 9% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between 1899 Hoffenheim W (green) and Mainz 05 W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim W | WWWLL | 1.50 | 1.30 | 70% | 60% |
| Mainz 05 W | LLWLL | 1.90 | 2.50 | 30% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim W Win | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1899 Hoffenheim W HT & FT | 62% | 1.53 |
| 1899 Hoffenheim W 1st Half Win | 59% | 1.53 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| 3-0 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Frauen Bundesliga matches that day
- Hamburger SV W vs Union Berlin W · 25 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Frauen Bundesliga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Nürnberg W vs Bayer Leverkusen W · 25 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Frauen Bundesliga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Werder Bremen W vs SC Freiburg W · 25 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Frauen Bundesliga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 4–3