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Frauen Bundesliga · Germany
Nürnberg W vs Bayer Leverkusen W prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nürnberg W host Bayer Leverkusen W in the Frauen Bundesliga (Germany) on 25 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Nürnberg W 2–0 Bayer Leverkusen W.
Going into the match, Nürnberg W had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 26. Bayer Leverkusen W had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Nürnberg W's last 10 and 8 of Bayer Leverkusen W's last 10; 9 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nürnberg W averaged 1.80 goals scored and 2.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Bayer Leverkusen W averaged 2.17 scored and 0.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.77 goals from Nürnberg W and 2.05 from Bayer Leverkusen W. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 44%, against 12%, 19% and 69% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nürnberg W (green) and Bayer Leverkusen W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nürnberg W | LLWLL | 2.40 | 2.60 | 80% | 90% |
| Bayer Leverkusen W | DWDWL | 1.70 | 1.40 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Bayer Leverkusen W Win | 70% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.83 |
| Bayer Leverkusen W HT & FT | 51% | 1.83 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Frauen Bundesliga matches that day
- Hamburger SV W vs Union Berlin W · 25 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Frauen Bundesliga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Werder Bremen W vs SC Freiburg W · 25 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Frauen Bundesliga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 4–3 - 1899 Hoffenheim W vs Mainz 05 W · 25 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Frauen Bundesliga
Published pick: 1899 Hoffenheim W 1st Half Win @ 1.53 · FT 3–1