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Frauen Bundesliga · Germany
Hamburger SV W vs Union Berlin W prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hamburger SV W host Union Berlin W in the Frauen Bundesliga (Germany) on 25 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hamburger SV W 4–4 Union Berlin W.
Going into the match, Hamburger SV W had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 15. Union Berlin W had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Hamburger SV W's last 10 and 4 of Union Berlin W's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hamburger SV W averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Union Berlin W averaged 2.00 scored and 1.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.00 goals from Hamburger SV W and 1.80 from Union Berlin W. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 35%, against 22%, 25% and 53% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 47%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hamburger SV W (green) and Union Berlin W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV W | LLWWL | 1.30 | 1.50 | 80% | 60% |
| Union Berlin W | WWWWL | 1.70 | 1.80 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 May 2026 · Hamburger SV W 0–1 Union Berlin W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Frauen Bundesliga matches that day
- Nürnberg W vs Bayer Leverkusen W · 25 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Frauen Bundesliga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Werder Bremen W vs SC Freiburg W · 25 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Frauen Bundesliga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 4–3 - 1899 Hoffenheim W vs Mainz 05 W · 25 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Frauen Bundesliga
Published pick: 1899 Hoffenheim W 1st Half Win @ 1.53 · FT 3–1