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Premier League · Ethiopia
Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Fasil Ketema prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Welwalo Adigrat Uni host Fasil Ketema in the Premier League (Ethiopia) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Going into the match, Welwalo Adigrat Uni had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Fasil Ketema had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's last 10 and 3 of Fasil Ketema's last 10; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Welwalo Adigrat Uni averaged 0.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Fasil Ketema averaged 0.57 scored and 0.86 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.94 goals from Welwalo Adigrat Uni and 0.89 from Fasil Ketema. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 31%. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Welwalo Adigrat Uni (green) and Fasil Ketema (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni | LDWLW | 0.90 | 1.10 | 50% | 30% |
| Fasil Ketema | DWLWW | 0.90 | 1.00 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopian Medhin · 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.53 · FT 1–1 - Gamo Chencha vs Sidama Bunna · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopia Bunna · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25 · FT 1–2