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Premier League · Ethiopia
Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopia Bunna prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kedus Giorgis host Ethiopia Bunna in the Premier League (Ethiopia) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Kedus Giorgis to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kedus Giorgis 1–2 Ethiopia Bunna.
Going into the match, Kedus Giorgis had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Ethiopia Bunna had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Kedus Giorgis's last 10 and 3 of Ethiopia Bunna's last 10; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kedus Giorgis averaged 1.22 goals scored and 0.56 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Ethiopia Bunna averaged 0.71 scored and 0.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.21 goals from Kedus Giorgis and 0.93 from Ethiopia Bunna. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 27%, against 41%, 32% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kedus Giorgis (green) and Ethiopia Bunna (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kedus Giorgis | DDWDW | 1.00 | 0.50 | 30% | 20% |
| Ethiopia Bunna | LDWDL | 0.70 | 0.70 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Apr 2026 · Kedus Giorgis 1–3 Ethiopia Bunna
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.25 |
| BTTS No | 61% | 1.52 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 57% | 1.58 |
| Kedus Giorgis Win | 40% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.80 |
| 0-0 | 19% | 5.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopian Medhin · 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.53 · FT 1–1 - Gamo Chencha vs Sidama Bunna · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Fasil Ketema · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals