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Premier League · Ethiopia
Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopian Medhin prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Awassa Kenema host Ethiopian Medhin in the Premier League (Ethiopia) on 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Awassa Kenema 1–1 Ethiopian Medhin.
Going into the match, Awassa Kenema had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Ethiopian Medhin had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Awassa Kenema's last 10 and 4 of Ethiopian Medhin's last 10; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Awassa Kenema averaged 0.57 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Ethiopian Medhin averaged 1.10 scored and 0.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.85 goals from Awassa Kenema and 1.07 from Ethiopian Medhin. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 39%, against 34%, 33% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Awassa Kenema | LLDDL | 0.60 | 1.00 | 40% | 20% |
| Ethiopian Medhin | WLLLW | 0.90 | 1.00 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Apr 2026 · Ethiopian Medhin 2–1 Awassa Kenema
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 1X | 67% | 1.36 |
| BTTS No | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 57% | 1.58 |
| Awassa Kenema Win | 34% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.75 |
| 0-0 | 19% | 5.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Gamo Chencha vs Sidama Bunna · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopia Bunna · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25 · FT 1–2 - Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Fasil Ketema · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals