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Premier League · Ethiopia
Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar prediction and preview
22 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Welayta Dicha host Bahardar in the Premier League (Ethiopia) on 22 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Bahardar to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Welayta Dicha 1–3 Bahardar.
Going into the match, Welayta Dicha had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Bahardar had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Welayta Dicha's last 10 and 2 of Bahardar's last 10; 2 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Welayta Dicha averaged 0.29 goals scored and 0.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Bahardar averaged 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.81 goals from Welayta Dicha and 0.86 from Bahardar. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 33%, against 35%, 33% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Welayta Dicha (green) and Bahardar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welayta Dicha | DDDWL | 0.90 | 0.50 | 30% | 20% |
| Bahardar | LWDLD | 0.60 | 0.70 | 20% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 Jun 2026 · Bahardar 0–2 Welayta Dicha
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 68% | 1.33 |
| BTTS No | 62% | 1.47 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 54% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.75 |
| 0-0 | 20% | 4.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Gamo Chencha vs Mekelakeya · 22 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Mekelakeya Win · FT 0–1 - Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 22 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.53 · FT 1–1 - Kedus Giorgis vs Adama Kenema · 22 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.55 · FT 1–1