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Premier League · Ethiopia
Kedus Giorgis vs Adama Kenema prediction and preview
22 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kedus Giorgis host Adama Kenema in the Premier League (Ethiopia) on 22 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Adama Kenema to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kedus Giorgis 1–1 Adama Kenema.
Going into the match, Kedus Giorgis had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 5. Adama Kenema had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Kedus Giorgis's last 10 and 3 of Adama Kenema's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kedus Giorgis averaged 1.20 goals scored and 0.70 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Adama Kenema averaged 0.75 scored and 1.13 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.92 goals from Kedus Giorgis and 0.94 from Adama Kenema. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 33%, against 41%, 32% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kedus Giorgis (green) and Adama Kenema (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kedus Giorgis | LDDWD | 1.10 | 0.50 | 40% | 30% |
| Adama Kenema | DWWLD | 1.10 | 0.90 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Apr 2026 · Kedus Giorgis 1–0 Adama Kenema
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 58% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.80 |
| 0-0 | 19% | 5.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Gamo Chencha vs Mekelakeya · 22 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Mekelakeya Win · FT 0–1 - Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 22 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.53 · FT 1–1 - Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar · 22 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.44 · FT 1–3