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Premier League · Ethiopia

Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank prediction and preview

22 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS NoOdds 1.53Market probability 61%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Awassa Kenema host Ethiopia Nigd Bank in the Premier League (Ethiopia) on 22 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Awassa Kenema 1–1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank.

Going into the match, Awassa Kenema had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Ethiopia Nigd Bank had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 10 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Awassa Kenema's last 10 and 5 of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Awassa Kenema averaged 0.63 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Ethiopia Nigd Bank averaged 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.75 goals from Awassa Kenema and 1.12 from Ethiopia Nigd Bank. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 43%, against 33%, 33% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Awassa Kenema (green) and Ethiopia Nigd Bank (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form14% – 86%
Attack33% – 67%
Defence0% – 100%
Head-to-head29% – 71%
Goals38% – 63%
Overall strength28% – 71%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Awassa KenemaDLLDD0.601.0040%20%
Ethiopia Nigd BankWWDLD1.001.0050%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1X67%1.36
BTTS No61%1.53
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals54%1.71
Draw35%2.70
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Win34%2.62
0-020%4.75

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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