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Ykkönen · Finland
VJS vs TPV prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
VJS host TPV in the Ykkönen (Finland) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is VJS Win — VJS to win. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: VJS 2–1 TPV.
Going into the match, VJS had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 11. TPV had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of VJS's last 10 and 6 of TPV's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home VJS averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 14 matches; away from home TPV averaged 1.08 scored and 2.25 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.14 goals from VJS and 1.16 from TPV. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 19%, against 68%, 18% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between VJS (green) and TPV (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Jun 2026 · VJS 2–1 TPV
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.33 |
| VJS Win | 67% | 1.33 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 67% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.39 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 53% | 1.78 |
| VJS HT & FT | 49% | 1.91 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ykkönen matches that day
- FC jazz vs KuPS Akatemia · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Ykkönen
Published pick: FC jazz Win @ 1.59 · FT 2–2 - JJK vs PKKU · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Ykkönen
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.53 - KPV-j vs Inter Turku II · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Ykkönen
Published pick: Inter Turku II Win @ 1.75 - SalPa vs OLS · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Ykkönen
Published pick: SalPa Win @ 1.53 · FT 3–2 - Tampere United vs Rops · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Ykkönen
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.48 · FT 1–1