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Ykkönen · Finland
SalPa vs OLS prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
SalPa host OLS in the Ykkönen (Finland) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is SalPa Win — SalPa to win. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: SalPa 3–2 OLS.
Going into the match, SalPa had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 19. OLS had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of SalPa's last 10 and 8 of OLS's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SalPa averaged 2.85 goals scored and 1.77 conceded across 13 matches; away from home OLS averaged 2.08 scored and 1.62 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.30 goals from SalPa and 1.60 from OLS. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 26%, against 59%, 21% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between SalPa (green) and OLS (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Aug 2026 · SalPa 4–1 OLS
- 6 Jun 2026 · OLS 5–0 SalPa
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 69% | 1.32 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 66% | 1.40 |
| SalPa Win | 58% | 1.53 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 52% | 1.82 |
| SalPa HT & FT | 40% | 2.30 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ykkönen matches that day
- FC jazz vs KuPS Akatemia · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Ykkönen
Published pick: FC jazz Win @ 1.59 · FT 2–2 - JJK vs PKKU · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Ykkönen
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.53 - KPV-j vs Inter Turku II · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Ykkönen
Published pick: Inter Turku II Win @ 1.75 - Tampere United vs Rops · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Ykkönen
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.48 · FT 1–1 - VJS vs TPV · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Ykkönen
Published pick: VJS Win @ 1.33 · FT 2–1