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Ykkönen · Finland
Tampere United vs Rops prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tampere United host Rops in the Ykkönen (Finland) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tampere United 1–1 Rops.
Going into the match, Tampere United had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 28 and conceding 15. Rops had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Tampere United's last 10 and 8 of Rops's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tampere United averaged 2.33 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Rops averaged 1.69 scored and 1.77 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.11 goals from Tampere United and 0.98 from Rops. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 16%, against 30%, 30% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tampere United (green) and Rops (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampere United | WWLWL | 2.80 | 1.50 | 50% | 70% |
| Rops | WWLDW | 2.30 | 2.20 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Aug 2026 · Tampere United 4–0 Rops
- 6 Jun 2026 · Rops 0–1 Tampere United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 70% | 1.31 |
| Double Chance X2 | 68% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.48 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.68 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 53% | 1.76 |
| Rops Win | 40% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ykkönen matches that day
- FC jazz vs KuPS Akatemia · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Ykkönen
Published pick: FC jazz Win @ 1.59 · FT 2–2 - JJK vs PKKU · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Ykkönen
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.53 - KPV-j vs Inter Turku II · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Ykkönen
Published pick: Inter Turku II Win @ 1.75 - SalPa vs OLS · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Ykkönen
Published pick: SalPa Win @ 1.53 · FT 3–2 - VJS vs TPV · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Ykkönen
Published pick: VJS Win @ 1.33 · FT 2–1